England – Championship
24 October 2026 · 14:00
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 1.31 – 1.24
Our statistical model gives Blackburn a 38% chance of beating Wrexham, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 35%. It expects 1.31 goals from Blackburn and 1.24 from Wrexham, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 53%.
The most likely result is home win at 38%.
Final score: Blackburn 2-0 Wrexham.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Blackburn a 38% chance of beating Wrexham, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 35%. It expects 1.31 goals from Blackburn and 1.24 from Wrexham, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 53%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 47%, based on expected goals of 1.31 for Blackburn and 1.24 for Wrexham.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 53%.
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