England – Premier League
24 October 2026 · 14:00
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 1.56 – 0.73
Our statistical model gives Arsenal a 56% chance of beating Everton, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 16%. It expects 1.56 goals from Arsenal and 0.73 from Everton, which makes over 2.5 goals 40% likely and both teams to score 42%.
The most likely result is home win at 56%.
Final score: Arsenal 2-0 Everton.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Arsenal a 56% chance of beating Everton, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 16%. It expects 1.56 goals from Arsenal and 0.73 from Everton, which makes over 2.5 goals 40% likely and both teams to score 42%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 40%, based on expected goals of 1.56 for Arsenal and 0.73 for Everton.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 42%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.