Germany – Bundesliga
24 October 2026 · 13:30
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.09 – 0.95
Our statistical model gives SC Paderborn 07 a 38% chance of beating Hamburger SV, puts the draw at 32% and an away win at 31%. It expects 1.09 goals from SC Paderborn 07 and 0.95 from Hamburger SV, which makes over 2.5 goals 33% likely and both teams to score 41%.
The most likely result is home win at 38%.
Final score: SC Paderborn 07 1-0 Hamburger SV.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives SC Paderborn 07 a 38% chance of beating Hamburger SV, puts the draw at 32% and an away win at 31%. It expects 1.09 goals from SC Paderborn 07 and 0.95 from Hamburger SV, which makes over 2.5 goals 33% likely and both teams to score 41%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 33%, based on expected goals of 1.09 for SC Paderborn 07 and 0.95 for Hamburger SV.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 41%.
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