Italy – Serie A
24 October 2026 · 13:00
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.11 – 1.25
Our statistical model gives Cagliari a 33% chance of beating Bologna, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 40%. It expects 1.11 goals from Cagliari and 1.25 from Bologna, which makes over 2.5 goals 42% likely and both teams to score 48%.
The most likely result is away win at 40%.
Final score: Cagliari 0-2 Bologna.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Cagliari a 33% chance of beating Bologna, puts the draw at 28% and an away win at 40%. It expects 1.11 goals from Cagliari and 1.25 from Bologna, which makes over 2.5 goals 42% likely and both teams to score 48%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 42%, based on expected goals of 1.11 for Cagliari and 1.25 for Bologna.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 48%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.