Spain – La Liga
24 October 2026 · 12:00
HT 0 : 2
Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.08
Our statistical model gives Rayo Vallecano a 46% chance of beating Elche, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 27%. It expects 1.49 goals from Rayo Vallecano and 1.08 from Elche, which makes over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 52%.
The most likely result is home win at 46%.
Final score: Rayo Vallecano 0-3 Elche.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Rayo Vallecano a 46% chance of beating Elche, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 27%. It expects 1.49 goals from Rayo Vallecano and 1.08 from Elche, which makes over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 52%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48%, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.08 for Elche.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 52%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.