England – League Two
24 October 2026 · 11:30
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 0.64 – 0.77
Our statistical model gives Northampton a 27% chance of beating Colchester, puts the draw at 38% and an away win at 35%. It expects 0.64 goals from Northampton and 0.77 from Colchester, which makes over 2.5 goals 17% likely and both teams to score 26%.
The most likely result is draw at 38%.
Final score: Northampton 2-0 Colchester.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Northampton a 27% chance of beating Colchester, puts the draw at 38% and an away win at 35%. It expects 0.64 goals from Northampton and 0.77 from Colchester, which makes over 2.5 goals 17% likely and both teams to score 26%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 17%, based on expected goals of 0.64 for Northampton and 0.77 for Colchester.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 26%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.