England – Championship
24 October 2026 · 11:30
HT 1 : 1
Expected goals: 1.21 – 1.23
Our statistical model gives Portsmouth a 35% chance of beating Millwall, puts the draw at 29% and an away win at 36%. It expects 1.21 goals from Portsmouth and 1.23 from Millwall, which makes over 2.5 goals 44% likely and both teams to score 50%.
The most likely result is away win at 36%.
Final score: Portsmouth 2-1 Millwall.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Portsmouth a 35% chance of beating Millwall, puts the draw at 29% and an away win at 36%. It expects 1.21 goals from Portsmouth and 1.23 from Millwall, which makes over 2.5 goals 44% likely and both teams to score 50%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 44%, based on expected goals of 1.21 for Portsmouth and 1.23 for Millwall.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 50%.
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