Sweden – Allsvenskan
23 October 2026 · 17:00
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.45 – 1.27
Our statistical model gives IF Elfsborg a 41% chance of beating Malmo FF, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 33%. It expects 1.45 goals from IF Elfsborg and 1.27 from Malmo FF, which makes over 2.5 goals 51% likely and both teams to score 55%.
The most likely result is home win at 41%.
Final score: IF Elfsborg 0-0 Malmo FF.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives IF Elfsborg a 41% chance of beating Malmo FF, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 33%. It expects 1.45 goals from IF Elfsborg and 1.27 from Malmo FF, which makes over 2.5 goals 51% likely and both teams to score 55%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 51%, based on expected goals of 1.45 for IF Elfsborg and 1.27 for Malmo FF.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 55%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.