Portugal – Primeira Liga
23 October 2026 · 19:45
HT 1 : 0
Expected goals: 1.43 – 1.13
Our statistical model gives Vitória SC a 44% chance of beating Maritimo, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 30%. It expects 1.43 goals from Vitória SC and 1.13 from Maritimo, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 51%.
The most likely result is home win at 44%.
Final score: Vitória SC 5-0 Maritimo.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Vitória SC a 44% chance of beating Maritimo, puts the draw at 26% and an away win at 30%. It expects 1.43 goals from Vitória SC and 1.13 from Maritimo, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 51%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 47%, based on expected goals of 1.43 for Vitória SC and 1.13 for Maritimo.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 51%.
18+ only. Predictions are statistical estimates and can lose. Please gamble responsibly.