Turkey – Süper Lig
23 October 2026 · 17:00
HT 0 : 2
Expected goals: 1.13 – 0.78
Our statistical model gives Alanyaspor a 42% chance of beating Kocaelispor, puts the draw at 33% and an away win at 24%. It expects 1.13 goals from Alanyaspor and 0.78 from Kocaelispor, which makes over 2.5 goals 30% likely and both teams to score 38%.
The most likely result is home win at 42%.
Final score: Alanyaspor 1-2 Kocaelispor.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Alanyaspor a 42% chance of beating Kocaelispor, puts the draw at 33% and an away win at 24%. It expects 1.13 goals from Alanyaspor and 0.78 from Kocaelispor, which makes over 2.5 goals 30% likely and both teams to score 38%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 30%, based on expected goals of 1.13 for Alanyaspor and 0.78 for Kocaelispor.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 38%.
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