Spain – La Liga
21 October 2026 · 18:00
HT 2 : 0
Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.18
Our statistical model gives Levante a 41% chance of beating Ath Bilbao, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 32%. It expects 1.37 goals from Levante and 1.18 from Ath Bilbao, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 52%.
The most likely result is home win at 41%.
Final score: Levante 3-1 Ath Bilbao.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Levante a 41% chance of beating Ath Bilbao, puts the draw at 27% and an away win at 32%. It expects 1.37 goals from Levante and 1.18 from Ath Bilbao, which makes over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 52%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 47%, based on expected goals of 1.37 for Levante and 1.18 for Ath Bilbao.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 52%.
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