England – League One
21 October 2026 · 19:00
HT 0 : 0
Expected goals: 1.60 – 1.20
Our statistical model gives Reading a 47% chance of beating Leyton Orient, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 29%. It expects 1.60 goals from Reading and 1.20 from Leyton Orient, which makes over 2.5 goals 53% likely and both teams to score 56%.
The most likely result is home win at 47%.
Final score: Reading 1-0 Leyton Orient.
How these probabilities are calculated: our prediction model explained
Our statistical model gives Reading a 47% chance of beating Leyton Orient, puts the draw at 25% and an away win at 29%. It expects 1.60 goals from Reading and 1.20 from Leyton Orient, which makes over 2.5 goals 53% likely and both teams to score 56%.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53%, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Reading and 1.20 for Leyton Orient.
The model gives both teams to score a probability of 56%.
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